Wall Street institutions expect US September core CPI to slow to 0.21% MoM, while headline CPI rises to 0.58% MoM and nearly 3.7% YoY due to higher energy prices. The median forecast puts headline CPI at 3.64% YoY and core CPI at 2.40% YoY, with core PCE up 0.21% MoM. The divergence reinforces the Fed’s need to keep rates high for longer, dampening hopes for a near-term policy pivot.